The supercomputer at FiveThirtyEight miscalculated Manchester United's potential to challenge for the Premier League championship in the 2022–2023 season
Man Utd finished sixth in the English Premier League and was left with nothing at the end of the 2021–2022 season after losing in the League Cup, FA Cup, and Champions League. If West Ham had not unanticipatedly lost to Brighton in the final round, they might have fallen to sixth and been forced to compete in the Europa Conference League the following year.
The computer of American data analysis business FiveThirtyEight predicts that Man Utd will continue to rank sixth in the Premier League with 57 points next season under new coach Erik ten Hag. The “Red Devils” have only an 18 percent probability of making it into the Champions League and a 1% chance of winning the championship, according to computer performance analysis.
This supercomputer also forecasts that the top teams will be ranked in the same order as last season, along with Manchester United. As a result, with 66 and 61 points, respectively, Arsenal and Tottenham are in fifth and fourth place. The two London clubs are expected to have only a 2 percent and a 5 percent chance, respectively, of winning the Premier League next season despite spending more than $100 million USD this summer.
With 72 points, Chelsea is predicted to place third, eight points behind second-place Liverpool. Liverpool has a 30% chance of winning the championship, while Chelsea has an 11% chance.
Man City, the reigning champion, is most valued when it maintains its position atop the standings with 85 points and a 48 percent likelihood of retaining the championship. If they are successful, Pep Guardiola’s team will win its fifth championship in the previous six years.
Newcastle, which the Public Investment Fund of Saudi Arabia (PIF) purchased at the end of last year for more than $400 million, is predicted to finish 13th with 47 points and a 76 percent chance of finishing in the top half of the standings.
FiveThirtyEight predicts that Fulham, Bournemouth, and Nottingham Forest will be promptly demoted from the Premier League after just one season. In which Nottingham Forest, the team that won the European Cup Winners Cup twice in a row from 1978 to 1980, is in the group with 35 points while Fulham and Bournemouth have 36 points.
This weekend will mark the start of the Premier League’s first round. After the round of 16 on November 13, the competition will be put on hold to make place for the 2022 World Cup. It will restart on December 26 with customary games on Gifting Day.